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Forex: USD/CHF holds below 0.9300 following German data

The USD/CHF has operated in a narrow 26-pip consolidation Thursday (0.9280-0.9306) despite the release of both Swiss and German data during European trading. After falling from it session highs, the cross has pared its gains to trade negatively at 0.9287/88, losing its grip on the 0.9300 level in these moments.

According to Slobodan Drvenica, an analyst at Windsor Brokers Ltd., “Larger picture bulls remain intact for now, however near-term studies are lacking momentum for break above the one-week range top at 0.9330 zone. Ah hourly structure is getting negatively aligned, as the price attempts at range floor at 0.9280, with 4h studies losing traction that keep the downside at risk.”

Earlier today in Switzerland, Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ) grew +0.2% in the fourth quarter, against estimates calling for stagnation at 0.0%. Moreover the Gross Domestic Product (YoY) reported a climb of +1.4% in the fourth quarter, beating expectations of +0.9%. In Germany, Unemployment Change in the month of February yielded a figure of -3.0K, vs. -5.0K projected. Finally, the Unemployment Rate s.a. reported only at 6.9%, against a consensus of 6.8%.

Drvenica cites the next supports at the 0.9280 level, onto 0.9256, and finally 0.9240. On the ascension, a break above the 0.9300 barrier and first resistance will initiate additional means of correction at 0.9326 and 0.9337.

Commodities Brief – Precious metals ease on US economic fortitude, gold falls below 1600 ahead of US GDP figures

Gold prices suffered a setback recently as upbeat estimates and figures out of the United States helped allay concerns of an impending economic slowdown. Despite Bernanke’s reiteration of monetary easing in the US, investors seem to take this as a signal that the stimulus program would heal and fortify the economy, which many had come to see as fragile. This has clearly been reflected in trading Thursday, as the yellow metal has not only surrendered its hold on the 1600 level, but fallen below its 20 and 50-day SMA, including its 200-day SMA which was acting as temporary support. At the time of writing, gold prices have recently fallen of session highs (1602.85) to trade at USD $1597.10 per oz., up a marginal +0.09%.
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Germany: Unemployment drops by 3K in February

The number of unemployed people in Germany fell by 3K in February, compared with the 14K decline registered the previous month, the Bundesagentur für Arbeit reported on Thursday. Market consensus pointed to slightly more decrease of 5K.
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