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5 Feb 2013
Forex: USD/JPY, smart money keeps buying off the 20-H4 EMA
The relentless uptrend in USD/JPY continues to give joy to those brave shallow dip buyers, with the price just snapped back towards 92.50 after a very brief drive a few pips below 92.00.
It is worth noting the ongoing behavioral pattern since Jan 23, by which every time the price approaches the 20-H4 EMA, buyers continue to show up in mass to resume the bullish bias. Today's brief 92.00 encounter was the third retest of the indicator with so far an identical outcome in favour of long players' fortune.
In order to strengthen the case for fresh cycle highs, 92.50/55 is the key resistance to be broken now. During Monday's downside correction, an acceleration in losses was seen through the break of 92.50/55, suggesting sellers will try to defend the territory with the risk of stops hiding around, thus the area should be seen as stops-sensitive. Should 92.50/55 give up, it might cause a buy-back effect to close short position for those shorts having moved to break even, potentially speeding up gains to target 93+.
It is worth noting the ongoing behavioral pattern since Jan 23, by which every time the price approaches the 20-H4 EMA, buyers continue to show up in mass to resume the bullish bias. Today's brief 92.00 encounter was the third retest of the indicator with so far an identical outcome in favour of long players' fortune.
In order to strengthen the case for fresh cycle highs, 92.50/55 is the key resistance to be broken now. During Monday's downside correction, an acceleration in losses was seen through the break of 92.50/55, suggesting sellers will try to defend the territory with the risk of stops hiding around, thus the area should be seen as stops-sensitive. Should 92.50/55 give up, it might cause a buy-back effect to close short position for those shorts having moved to break even, potentially speeding up gains to target 93+.