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7 Oct 2013
Risk-off trends small but significant as debt deadline looms
FXstreet.com (London) - As the US debt ceiling stand-off continues, a turning of risk sentiment has crept into markets.
Much of the first week of the partial US government shutdown saw continued bullishness on anticipation of a swift resolution to the congressional impasse, with Democrats trading some budget cuts in exchange for funding of the Affordable Care Act. But with neither side ready to compromise, we are now quickly approaching the 17 October hard ceiling after which the US will be unable to fund its debt.
Risk pairs this morning have shown signs of nervousness creeping into markets. USD/CHF has fallen 33 percent, with AUD/JPY falling 0.53 percent.
The Yen has been the biggest beneficiary of the debt ceiling-driven risk-off trade. USD/JPY has fallen 0.64 percent so far today.
None of these moves are huge, but they do indicate that the tide is turning, backed up by negative moves in AUD, NZD and NOK.
So far there is no huge risk-off sentiment, but as we drift closer to 17 October without a resolution in the US debt ceiling negotiations, expect these trends to be amplified.
Much of the first week of the partial US government shutdown saw continued bullishness on anticipation of a swift resolution to the congressional impasse, with Democrats trading some budget cuts in exchange for funding of the Affordable Care Act. But with neither side ready to compromise, we are now quickly approaching the 17 October hard ceiling after which the US will be unable to fund its debt.
Risk pairs this morning have shown signs of nervousness creeping into markets. USD/CHF has fallen 33 percent, with AUD/JPY falling 0.53 percent.
The Yen has been the biggest beneficiary of the debt ceiling-driven risk-off trade. USD/JPY has fallen 0.64 percent so far today.
None of these moves are huge, but they do indicate that the tide is turning, backed up by negative moves in AUD, NZD and NOK.
So far there is no huge risk-off sentiment, but as we drift closer to 17 October without a resolution in the US debt ceiling negotiations, expect these trends to be amplified.