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12 Dec 2014
Key events on Friday - Westpac
FXStreet (Bali) - Sean Callow, FX Strategist at Westpac, breaks down the key events for Friday, Dec 12th.
Key Quotes
Australia’s calendar goes quiet today. China highlights the regional calendar, with various activity data for Nov due at 4:30pm Syd/1:30pm local. Most market-sensitive is industrial production. Consensus is 7.5% y/y versus 7.7% in Oct, still clear of the 6.9% shocker in Aug but hardly likely to inspire great optimism over China’s growth pulse. Indeed there seems some risk of a downside surprise given the disruption to industry caused by the APEC meeting.
Fixed asset investment is reported on a YTD basis, ensuring it won’t print far from the 15.8% y/y median forecast. The retail sales survey is not a great guide to consumption but will still be watched; consensus is for it to hold at 12.0% y/y. China’s Nov money aggregates are also due any day, with Chinese media suggesting CNY650-700bn, around consensus. In London trade we will see India’s Oct IP, expected up just 2.5% y/y.
In Europe we see second-tier data: UK Oct construction output and Eurozone Oct IP. Japan’s general election takes place on Sunday, with polls suggesting PM Abe’s LDP- Komeito coalition not only retaining the lower house comfortably but together capturing a 2/3 majority in the Senate to ensure veto-proof legislation.
Key Quotes
Australia’s calendar goes quiet today. China highlights the regional calendar, with various activity data for Nov due at 4:30pm Syd/1:30pm local. Most market-sensitive is industrial production. Consensus is 7.5% y/y versus 7.7% in Oct, still clear of the 6.9% shocker in Aug but hardly likely to inspire great optimism over China’s growth pulse. Indeed there seems some risk of a downside surprise given the disruption to industry caused by the APEC meeting.
Fixed asset investment is reported on a YTD basis, ensuring it won’t print far from the 15.8% y/y median forecast. The retail sales survey is not a great guide to consumption but will still be watched; consensus is for it to hold at 12.0% y/y. China’s Nov money aggregates are also due any day, with Chinese media suggesting CNY650-700bn, around consensus. In London trade we will see India’s Oct IP, expected up just 2.5% y/y.
In Europe we see second-tier data: UK Oct construction output and Eurozone Oct IP. Japan’s general election takes place on Sunday, with polls suggesting PM Abe’s LDP- Komeito coalition not only retaining the lower house comfortably but together capturing a 2/3 majority in the Senate to ensure veto-proof legislation.