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BoE’s Pill: We now need cautious cuts

Bank of England (BoE) Chief Economist Huw Pill commented on the policy outlook in his scheduled speech on Tuesday.

Key quotes

  • Vote against interest rate cut was a 'skip' within a continuing withdrawal of monetary policy restriction.
  • Inflation pressure indicators give me cause for concern.
  • Quarterly pace of 25 bps cuts seen since last summer is too rapid given the inflation outlook.
  • My dissenting vote was favouring a 'skip' in the quarterly pattern of bank rate cuts.
  • It should not be seen as favouring a halt to withdrawal of restriction.
  • Structural changes in price and wage setting behaviour have increased the intrinsic persistence of the UK inflation process.
  • Pace of quarterly cuts too rapid given the balance of risks to price stability we face.
  • Believes that the underlying disinflation process remains intact.
  • Prospective path of bank rate from here is downward.
  • My dissent from that decision does not reflect a fundamental difference with the committee majority.
  • We now need cautious cuts.

Market reaction

GBP/USD is holding its retreat from near 1.3400, adding 0.08% on the day to trade at 1.3373, as of writing.

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